Evidence before excitement.
Cosradar is a decision-support method, not a prediction guarantee. It records what was observed, when and where it was observed, what was inferred, and which evidence is still missing before a beauty manufacturer, packaging supplier or brand should act.
Four layers that must not be collapsed.
R&D and ingredient movement
Patent, supplier, formulation and trade-show signals. Useful for early watchlists; not consumer demand proof.
Search and content heat
Queries, content velocity and discussion. Directional interest; brand queries, seasonality and relative indices are labelled.
Commerce behaviour
Observed sales proxies, rank movement, listings and price events. Promotions and stock changes can confound the signal.
Commercial adoption
Verified launches, funding, hiring or assortment moves. Context for timing; never presented as a buyer's procurement intent.
A prioritisation score, not a truth machine.
Change, persistence and cross-source support.
Can the required product or pack actually be made?
Named-brand or commercial adoption signals.
Market and claim feasibility.
Indicative economics, subject to a real quote.
Decision rule
TrendScore ≥ 70 enters human review. It does not automatically ship. capability = 0 or compliance = 0 vetoes progression regardless of total score.
What a publishable claim must carry.
| Field | Question answered | Public rule |
|---|---|---|
| Subject + market | Which entity, product, component and country? | No scope transfer between suppliers, factories, SKUs or markets. |
| Source + date | Who issued it, when was it observed and accessed? | Undated numbers are not treated as current facts. |
| Method + unit | What exactly was measured? | Relative rising indices are not labelled absolute volume; rank movement is not labelled sales. |
| Status | Observed, normalised, inferred or recommended? | Inference stays visibly separate from source facts. |
| Limitations | What could make the conclusion wrong? | Seasonality, promotion, stock, sampling, access failures and missing runs are disclosed. |
| Commercial gate | Can we quote, sample or claim it now? | MOQ, lead time, capacity, price and certification require dated supplier/site/SKU confirmation. |
How the radar becomes commercial work.
Cosradar chooses the question
Which market problem and product format deserve verification now?
Evidence pages make it answerable
Stable HTML explains the entity, capability, source, date, method and boundary.
COSGEO checks AI visibility
Freeze the question cohort and record mentions, owned-domain citations, entity accuracy and evidence fidelity. A professional baseline uses 60 questions × 6 platforms × 3 rounds = 1,080 observations.
Content and sales return outcomes
美妆老高聊AI explains the method; outreach tests named accounts; qualified inquiries, samples, quotes and orders feed the next scoring cycle.
Freshness is a visible product feature.
- Every public snapshot shows its verification date and source scope.
- More than seven days old is labelled historical until rechecked.
- Failed, partial or missing runs are not silently carried forward as current.
- Changed pages receive truthful sitemap
lastmoddates. - Corrections preserve the old source date and state what changed.